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cianore
02-29-2008, 11:30 AM
Ko'pchilikda xorijiy valyuta bozorlari katta qiziqish uyg'otishi turgan gap. Istaymizmi yo'qmi, xorijiy valyutalar, pirovardida jahon iqtisodiyotidagi bo'layotgan o'zgarishlar O'zbekiston iqtisodiyoti va milliy valyutasini ham o'z ta'sir doirasiga oladi..

Mana shu yerda, Forexga tegishli mavzularni munozara etib borsak...

cianore
02-29-2008, 01:09 PM
Kuni kecha USD ko'plab xorijiy valyutalarga nisbatan (jumladan, JPY, HKD, CNY, TWD, EUR va b..) so'nggi 3 yil ichidagi eng past ko'rsatkichga ega bo'ldi. USDJPY juftligida 105.00 (psycho-support) ni olinishini kutgandim, lekin bu qadar tez 103.65 (oylik chart, fib.projection) ga yo'l ochishini o'ylamagandim.. Keyingi muhim nuqtalar (support) 102.00 va 101.65 bo'ladi..
Bu xolat, Fed o'zining mar.18 uchrashuvida stavkani eng kami 50 bp ga kamaytirishiga ishonchim ortib ketdi. kamroq ehtimolliklar 75 bp rate cut bo'lsa kerak.
Juma kungi sessiya davomida dji ning 2.50 % ga pasayishi dushanba kuni osiyo va europaga cho'ziladigan bo'lsa, yangi xaftada us bozorlari aaaaancha qiynalib qolishi turgan gap

Ma'ruf
02-29-2008, 01:36 PM
Qanchadan bera shu ish bilan shug'ullanas?

cianore
03-01-2008, 09:35 PM
Demak, yangi xaftani boshi uchun USDJPY da keskin burilish yasashi mumkin bo'lgan xech qanday iqtisodiy axborotlarni ko'rmayapman. Hozircha, faqatgina texnik analizga asoslangan xolda usdjpy juftligida usd biroz qimmatlashib, 105.80 gacha ko'tarilishi mumkin. AQSH bozorlari boshlanguncha osiyo o'z odatini davom ettirib usdjpyni yana 103 nuqtaga olib borish ehtimoli katta... Buning uchun dushanba kuni dow jones industrial ni kuzatib boring..
mayli, qolganini dushanbada ko'ramiz xudo xohlasa.

jasonnur
03-02-2008, 03:46 AM
Kuni kecha USD ko'plab xorijiy valyutalarga nisbatan (jumladan, JPY, HKD, CNY, TWD, EUR va b..) so'nggi 3 yil ichidagi eng past ko'rsatkichga ega bo'ldi. USDJPY juftligida 105.00 (psycho-support) ni olinishini kutgandim, lekin bu qadar tez 103.65 (oylik chart, fib.projection) ga yo'l ochishini o'ylamagandim.. Keyingi muhim nuqtalar (support) 102.00 va 101.65 bo'ladi..
Bu xolat, Fed o'zining mar.18 uchrashuvida stavkani eng kami 50 bp ga kamaytirishiga ishonchim ortib ketdi. kamroq ehtimolliklar 75 bp rate cut bo'lsa kerak.
Juma kungi sessiya davomida dji ning 2.50 % ga pasayishi dushanba kuni osiyo va europaga cho'ziladigan bo'lsa, yangi xaftada us bozorlari aaaaancha qiynalib qolishi turgan gap

saal tushuntiribroq yozing, bizayam tushunaylik ( atamalarni) bp nima?

vatansevar
03-02-2008, 06:40 PM
Kuni kecha USD ko'plab xorijiy valyutalarga nisbatan (jumladan, JPY, HKD, CNY, TWD, EUR va b..) so'nggi 3 yil ichidagi eng past ko'rsatkichga ega bo'ldi. USDJPY juftligida 105.00 (psycho-support) ni olinishini kutgandim, lekin bu qadar tez 103.65 (oylik chart, fib.projection) ga yo'l ochishini o'ylamagandim.. Keyingi muhim nuqtalar (support) 102.00 va 101.65 bo'ladi..
Bu xolat, Fed o'zining mar.18 uchrashuvida stavkani eng kami 50 bp ga kamaytirishiga ishonchim ortib ketdi. kamroq ehtimolliklar 75 bp rate cut bo'lsa kerak.
Juma kungi sessiya davomida dji ning 2.50 % ga pasayishi dushanba kuni osiyo va europaga cho'ziladigan bo'lsa, yangi xaftada us bozorlari aaaaancha qiynalib qolishi turgan gap

Psycho support deganini tushuntirsangiz. Undan keyin tehnik analizni qayerdan olyapsiz?

cianore
03-02-2008, 10:54 PM
uzr
sizlarga bir nimani aytib ketish yodimdan ko'tarilib qolibdi. Ushbu thread davomida man keltiradigan barcha taxlil va taxminlarni turli omillarga asoslangan xolda kelib chiqqan mani shaxsiy fikrim hisoblanadi. shuning uchun, taxminlar to'la o'zini oqlashiga kafolat bermayman. Xalqaro valyuta bozoridagi vaziyat ko'plab bevosita va bilvosita ta'sir etuvchi omillarga bog'liqdir va tavakkalchilik darajasi juda yuqori. Agar, tajribasiz bo'lsangiz, bu ish bilan shug'ullanishni maslahat bermayman. Bu ishni qilish uchun eng kami 6 oylik tajriba lozim deb hisoblayman...

cianore
03-02-2008, 11:03 PM
bp - basis point, AQSh Federal Reserve banki stavkasi 1 birligining yuzdan biri. Masalan, ayni vaqtda stavka 3 foizni tashkil etmoqda. Agar, 18-martda bo'ladigan yig'ilish chog'ida stavkani 0.5% ga qisqartirishga qaror qilinsa, stavka 50 basis pointga qisqartiriladi demakdir.
Bu stavka, AQSHdagi asosiy stavka bo'lib, deyarli barcha kreditlarning foiz stavkasini belgilashda xizmat qiladi. Masalan, Citi bank credit kartochkalariga foiz belgilashda ushbu stavka + 4.25% qilib belgilaydi..
resistance point (qarshilik nuqtasi) - valyutaning qadri oshayotgan paytda, ushbu nuqtada narxlar qarshilikka uchraydi.
support - valyutaning narxi tushayotgan paytda ushbu nuqtada qarshilik ko'riladi...
psycho- support yoki resistance, psixik tomondan ta'sir etuvchi nuqtalar... ko'pincha 100, 100.50, 103 kabi nuqtalar psycho bo'lib xizmat qiladi..

uzr agar tushunarsiz bo'layotgan bo'lsa, o'zbek tilida qiyin ekan tushintirish...

cianore
03-02-2008, 11:28 PM
Demak, Osiyodagi bozorlar paytida usdjpy juftligi oldindan taxmin etganimiz 103.00 nuqtadan biroz pastroq bo'lgan 102.91 nuqtagacha olib tushdi, so'ngra biroz ko'tarilib 103.33 ga yetdi. Yevropa bozorlarida savdo boshlangunga qadar, usdjpy yana biroz pasayishi lozim. . Yevropa, va ertalab AQSh bozorlarida trend positiv ko'rinish olish uchun hozircha positive axborotlar suv va havodek zarur, ammo bunday axborotlar kutilmayapti.. Shunday bo'lsada, texnik taxlillarga tayangan xolda, yevropa bozorlaridagi savdo chog'ida dollar narxi biroz ko'tarilishini taxmin qilishimiz mumkin... (shunisiga, o'zimni ham juda ishongim kelmayroq turibdi)

jasonnur
03-03-2008, 03:46 AM
bp - basis point, AQSh Federal Reserve banki stavkasi 1 birligining yuzdan biri. Masalan, ayni vaqtda stavka 3 foizni tashkil etmoqda. Agar, 18-martda bo'ladigan yig'ilish chog'ida stavkani 0.5% ga qisqartirishga qaror qilinsa, stavka 50 basis pointga qisqartiriladi demakdir.
Bu stavka, AQSHdagi asosiy stavka bo'lib, deyarli barcha kreditlarning foiz stavkasini belgilashda xizmat qiladi. Masalan, Citi bank credit kartochkalariga foiz belgilashda ushbu stavka + 4.25% qilib belgilaydi..
resistance point (qarshilik nuqtasi) - valyutaning qadri oshayotgan paytda, ushbu nuqtada narxlar qarshilikka uchraydi.
support - valyutaning narxi tushayotgan paytda ushbu nuqtada qarshilik ko'riladi...
psycho- support yoki resistance, psixik tomondan ta'sir etuvchi nuqtalar... ko'pincha 100, 100.50, 103 kabi nuqtalar psycho bo'lib xizmat qiladi..

uzr agar tushunarsiz bo'layotgan bo'lsa, o'zbek tilida qiyin ekan tushintirish...

rostdanam tushunish ancha qiyin ekan :D

cianore
03-03-2008, 09:28 PM
Bugun, to'g'risi biroz boshqacha kun bo'ldi..
London sessiyalari paytida mazza qilib uxlab yotgandim.. Nima bo'ldiyu, bir uyg'onib ketdim... kechqurun charchabman ekan, ovqatlanish ham esdan chiqqan ekan.. bozorlarim, tabiiyki, charchagan paytda baroridan kelavermaydi... aktivlarim qiymatidan -5% zararda edim..
Judayam xatarli bir riskka kirdim. Mavjud aktivlarimning 85% ga jpy sotib oldim.. so'ngra limit belgilab, umuman bozordan chiqib ketdim.. oqshom qarasam: kunni aktivlar qiymatidan 43% foyda bilan yakunlabman... rosa xursand bo'ldim, tfu tfu ko'z tegmasin...

Mavzuga qaytsak:
Dow Jonesni bugun ham yaxshigina pastlashini kutgandim. Faqat somalidagi voqealar xalaqit berib qoldi, qachon shu aqsh qayoqqadir xujum boshlasa iqtisodida o'sish yuz berishi turgan gap.. Esingizda bordir, 2001 yildagi recession va afg'oniston urushi... Bu safargi recession qattiqroq bo'lishi taxmin qilinmoqda, urushdagi raqib ham (agar urush boshlansa, eronmi, yoki somali...) shunga yarasha kattaroq xujumni hisobga olib qo'ygani ma'qul..

usdjpy juftligi biroz qaytib ko'tarilishga harakat qiladi... agar, positive informatsiya oqimi bo'lmasa, juftlik 104.75 nuqtadan yuqoriroq ko'tarila olmay yana pastga sho'ng'ishi mumkin.. Ushbu nuqtaga qachon ko'tarilishi haqida hech nima ayta olmayman, chunki hozir bozorda bu juftlik uchun biroz charchoq alomatlari sezilmoqda...

Neft narxi bugun birinchi marotaba 103 $/barreldan ko'tarilganini belgilab qo'yish esdan chiqmasin...

Hech qanday o'ta muhim axborotlarning e'lon qilinishi kutilmayotgandi..

cianore
03-09-2008, 10:05 PM
Hi everybody,
I'm back again to discuss you new strategies, tactics and market insight for another week.

Here we go: As we expected a week ago, last week usdjpy experienced another week of downtrend and we saw strong support at 101.50 levels.. the pair recorded multi-year lows: 101.41

We have to focus again to eurusd and usdjpy as us markets rule the trend. Honestly, i'm not expecting any positive news for us, additionally wall street reported that FBI was investigating LA based Countrywide Financial Corp., which BoA agreed to acquire in January. The position of BoA could be either to refuse to buy Countrywide or to pay lesser amount than initially offered. And us wholesale inventories is being expected to be announced on monday. If the latter comes in worse than expected, for sure it moves DJI lower, causing usd lower.
Wednesday will be important day as some key indicators due.

So, pivots for eurusd: r1 1.5438 r2 1.5500 s1 1.5285 s2 1.5175
key pivots for usdjpy: r1 103.50 r2 104.15 s1 101.64 s2 99.95

Watch for 101.66 /101.35 support points in usdjpy, if it can hold in these points, we might see turmoil in the pair that would last for weeks which might go as high as 110.00..

cianore
03-09-2008, 10:26 PM
As per the WSJ, the USD in free fall, there are mounting concerns about Fed intervention. There were only 2 occasions since august 1995 which Fed intervened fx markets.. it just whispers in the market though...

cianore
03-09-2008, 10:30 PM
Another reasonable gossip in the market: BoJ might get inspired to verbally intervene the market if usdjpy goes lower than 101.. It seems me we will see highly volatile week, and it could be so profitable if we could take care of our positions and strategies...

cianore
03-11-2008, 11:14 PM
Hi everybody.

you might wonder why DJI recorded biggest one-day-gain since 2002, it's because of the Fed announcement at 8.30 a.m. EST about 200 bio usd in help to banks, which are struggling from mortgage crisis. And now, recent rate cuts totalling 2.25% plus expecting rate cut of 75 bps on march 18 now might say it's words and lead DJI, consequently usd higher..

cianore
03-13-2008, 10:01 AM
Paulsonning so'nggi izohlaridan keyin, usd ning bundan keyin ham qadrsizlanishiga yashil chiroq yoqildi deb o'ylayman. Ayni damda eur/usd 1.5587, usd/jpy 100.28.

Yana bir e'tiborli jihati oltinning bir unsiyasi spot savdolari chog'ida allaqachon 997 usd ni ko'rsatmoqda. Neftning bir barreli 110.76 (ayni damda). AQSh dollari qadrsizlanayotgan paytda bularning narxi oshishi - tabiiy xol.. Agar usd yana boshqa valyutalarga nisbatan kuchaya boshlasa, narxlar biroz ortga qaytadi...

Prenomad
03-13-2008, 12:06 PM
Paulsonning so'nggi izohlaridan keyin, usd ning bundan keyin ham qadrsizlanishiga yashil chiroq yoqildi deb o'ylayman. Ayni damda eur/usd 1.5587, usd/jpy 100.28...

Cianore, qaysi kompaniya-broker xizmatidan foydalanasiz, agar sir bumasa?

cianore
03-13-2008, 12:09 PM
3-4 ta bor
birinchi forex.com da ochganidim.. nachinayushilar uchun chidasa bo'ladi. uni advanced charting mode ni yaxshi ko'rardim
keyin fxsolutions.com dan

Prenomad
03-13-2008, 03:39 PM
3-4 ta bor
birinchi forex.com da ochganidim.. nachinayushilar uchun chidasa bo'ladi. uni advanced charting mode ni yaxshi ko'rardim
keyin fxsolutions.com dan

Fxsolutions.com yaxshi kompaniya, platformasi, ayniqsa, juda qulay ishlangan foydalanishga.

Fikrlaringiz manga ma'qul, qani endi vaqt kup etarli buganda, tez-tez fikr almashib turilsa, ulgur ish :)

Oltin $1000 etdi, neft $111, nasib bulsa bu ketishda EUR/USD 1.6000ga qarab yul tortayapti,.

Kuzatuvlarga tayanib, EUR/USD 1.555dan long position qisqa muddatda (kunora) 1.5675 va 1.5708ga etadi deyishimiz mumkin, agar 1.555 support - himoya darajasi pastga buzib utilsa juftlik 1.55 yoki 1.545ga etadi. 30 minutlik chartda (pastda) RSI qisqa muddatlik salbiy (bearish) kanalni-kuchani (shunaqa deymizmi uzbek tilida :)) teppaga kesib utayapti.

Qanaqa qilib, chart imageni kattaroq qilib forumga quysa buladi?

(Yana Xudo biladi !) :)

cianore
03-13-2008, 04:09 PM
m da ...
shu pointda biroz uncertainman... lekin bearish marketni tomosha qilishda davom etamiz..

vaqt.. bir xil paytlar o'zimda ham problema.. Siz forexda savdo qilasmi?

ko'p terminlarni o'zbekchasini topish qiyin.. lekin o'zbek tilida ham savdo madaniyatini rivojlantirish kerak baribir (lol, kartoshka piyoz qilavermasdan :) )

Forexga position ochayotganda xar safar "Allohga tavakkal" deb ochaverasiz...

Fxsolutions.com yaxshi kompaniya, platformasi, ayniqsa, juda qulay ishlangan foydalanishga.

Fikrlaringiz manga ma'qul, qani endi vaqt kup etarli buganda, tez-tez fikr almashib turilsa, ulgur ish :)

Oltin $1000 etdi, neft $111, nasib bulsa bu ketishda EUR/USD 1.6000ga qarab yul tortayapti,.

Kuzatuvlarga tayanib, EUR/USD 1.555dan long position qisqa muddatda (kunora) 1.5675 va 1.5708ga etadi deyishimiz mumkin, agar 1.555 support - himoya darajasi pastga buzib utilsa juftlik 1.55 yoki 1.545ga etadi. 30 minutlik chartda (pastda) RSI qisqa muddatlik salbiy (bearish) kanalni-kuchani (shunaqa deymizmi uzbek tilida :)) teppaga kesib utayapti.

Qanaqa qilib, chart imageni kattaroq qilib forumga quysa buladi?

(Yana Xudo biladi !) :)

cianore
03-16-2008, 09:57 PM
Hi everybody,

Today 1 eur/usd reached to 1.5904 - the new all time high and 1 usd/jpy was traded below 95.74 which was not seen since August of 95. At this point I can only imagine what's gonna happen in London, though I'm not sure.

I'm considering quite possible Federal Reserve intervene.. Verbal intervene of BoJ would also be logical..

Currently gold is trading 1020.13, crude oil 111.20
see u later..

cianore
03-16-2008, 10:10 PM
Note that Fed cuts discount rate for 25 basis points and extends discount window to 90 days..

ps: I wouldn't be surprised if even central bank of uzbekistan takes a step furher and UZS gains on monday (that's just for fun :) )

xbek1983
03-17-2008, 12:04 AM
bp - basis point, AQSh Federal Reserve banki stavkasi 1 birligining yuzdan biri. Masalan, ayni vaqtda stavka 3 foizni tashkil etmoqda. Agar, 18-martda bo'ladigan yig'ilish chog'ida stavkani 0.5% ga qisqartirishga qaror qilinsa, stavka 50 basis pointga qisqartiriladi demakdir.
Bu stavka, AQSHdagi asosiy stavka bo'lib, deyarli barcha kreditlarning foiz stavkasini belgilashda xizmat qiladi. Masalan, Citi bank credit kartochkalariga foiz belgilashda ushbu stavka + 4.25% qilib belgilaydi..
resistance point (qarshilik nuqtasi) - valyutaning qadri oshayotgan paytda, ushbu nuqtada narxlar qarshilikka uchraydi.
support - valyutaning narxi tushayotgan paytda ushbu nuqtada qarshilik ko'riladi...
psycho- support yoki resistance, psixik tomondan ta'sir etuvchi nuqtalar... ko'pincha 100, 100.50, 103 kabi nuqtalar psycho bo'lib xizmat qiladi..

uzr agar tushunarsiz bo'layotgan bo'lsa, o'zbek tilida qiyin ekan tushintirish...

Gapni sal qisqaroq qiling, xo`sh yana qancha yutqazdingiz o`shanisini aytvoring:D

Prenomad
03-17-2008, 06:20 PM
Siz forexda savdo qilasmi?...

Mani asosan ishim qimmatbaho qog'ozlar bilan, Forexni esa CFD (Contracts for Difference) va kuproq Financial Spread trading orqali qilaman, kamida ikki oy ushlab turaman vaziyatga qarab, misol uchun, EUR/USD Iyulni oxiridan beri ushlab turibman long position, yarimi yopdim ertalab 1.59dan, yarimi qoldirdim:) Nasib bulsa, muljal 1.60 va undan yuqori, stop loss 1.57da.

xbek1983
03-17-2008, 06:29 PM
Mani asosan ishim qimmatbaho qog'ozlar bilan, Forexni esa CFD (Contracts for Difference) va kuproq Financial Spread trading orqali qilaman, kamida ikki oy ushlab turaman vaziyatga qarab, misol uchun, EUR/USD Iyulni oxiridan beri ushlab turibman long position, yarimi yopdim ertalab 1.59dan, yarimi qoldirdim:) Nasib bulsa, muljal 1.60 va undan yuqori, stop loss 1.57da.
Siz birorta kompaniyada bu bilan shug`ullanasizmi yoki o`z hisobingizdan, chunki o`z hisobingizdan bo`lsa katta mablag`, yoki kichik hajmdagi trade kerak bo`ladida buncha uzoq ushlab turishga

Prenomad
03-17-2008, 06:50 PM
Siz birorta kompaniyada bu bilan shug`ullanasizmi yoki o`z hisobingizdan, chunki o`z hisobingizdan bo`lsa katta mablag`, yoki kichik hajmdagi trade kerak bo`ladida buncha uzoq ushlab turishga

CFDs yoki Spread Trading orqali ushlab tursangiz, rosa katta mablag' kerakmas, plus spread tradingda (bir qator davlatlarda) commision, stamp duty va tax degan narsalar tulamaysiz, future contractlarga rollover (yani positionni keyingi kunga utkazish uchun brokerga tulanadigan haq) haqi tulamaysiz, shu hisobda sizga kup og'irlik tushmaydi...

Buning ustiga, deylik EUR/USD narxi foyda qilish muljalingizga etganda, bir qism positionni yopasiz, foydani chuntakka urib, narx tushganda yana open positioningizga qushasiz...:)

Prenomad
03-17-2008, 07:09 PM
Ertaga Federal Reserve asosiy foiz stavkasini kamida 0.75 % kesadi, nasib qilsa. USDni boshqa valyutalarga nisbatan tushishi kutilmoqda.

Qisqasi, kuzatuvlarga tayanib, 30 minutlik chartda (pastda) EUR/USDda 1.5705dan long position ochilsa, narx qisqa muddatda - kunora 1.5793 yoki 1.586ga etish mumkin, agar narx 1.5705 pivot pointdan tushib ketsa, 1.566ga yoki 1.5535ga etishi mumkin. RSi janoblari tepaga urayapti, utgan bir yarim yafta mobaynida shakllangan teppaga kutarilayotgan wedge chart nusxasi yuqoriga busib utgan edi kecha, bunga yana albatta harakatlar buladi..stop loss esdan chiqmasin !

Harqalay, $42 mrd. dollarlik landing booki, salkam $176 mrd. dollarlik turli securitieslari bugan Bear Stearnsday bank "ikki kunda" qulab tushdi, JPMorganga har sharesi $2 dollardan - umumiy qiymati $236 million dollarga "majburlab" sotildi, bu inqiroz bir-ikki oyda hal bumaydi, dollarga juda kup bosim buladi hali..ulgur man yozib buguncha, 1.5740ga etdi EUR/USD...

Royal
03-17-2008, 07:12 PM
Ertaga Federal Reserve asosiy foiz stavkasini kamida 0.75 % kesadi, nasib qilsa. USDni boshqa valyutalarga nisbatan tushishi kutilmoqda.

Qisqasi, kuzatuvlarga tayanib, 30 minutlik chartda (pastda) EUR/USDda 1.5705dan long position ochilsa, narx qisqa muddatda - kunora 1.5793 yoki 1.586ga etish mumkin, agar narx 1.5705 pivot pointdan tushib ketsa, 1.566ga yoki 1.5535ga etishi mumkin. RSi janoblari tepaga urayapti, utgan bir yarim yafta mobaynida shakllangan teppaga kutarilayotgan wedge chart nusxasi yuqoriga busib utgan edi kecha, bunga yana albatta harakatlar buladi..stop loss esdan chiqmasin !

Harqalay, $42 mrd. dollarlik landing booki, salkam $176 mrd. dollarlik turli securitieslari bugan Bear Stearnsday bank "ikki kunda" qulab tushdi, har sharesi $2 dollardan - $236 million dollarga umumiy qiymati, bu inqiroz bir-ikki oyda hal bumaydi, dollarga juda kup bosim buladi hali..ulgur man yozib buguncha, 1.5740ga etdi EUR/USD...
JP Morgan olishi kutilmoqda....

Prenomad
03-17-2008, 07:18 PM
JP Morgan olishi kutilmoqda....

Ha, tug'ri, 97% arzonlashtirilgan narxda olayapti :)

Hali uzimizda bir qadim maqol bular edi, "Yotib esang Buxoroga bor!" degan, usha aytganlaridek, "Bank olmoqchi bulsang New Yorkka" bor, suv tekinga olasan, yana qush-qullab uzlari yalinib olib kelib berishadi:)

Prenomad
03-18-2008, 02:37 AM
Kuzatuvlarga va manbalarga tayanib, 30 minutlik chartda (pastda) USD/JPY juftligi qisqa muddatda - kunora bearish - salbiy bosim ostida qoladi deyish mumkin. 97.9dan short position ochilsa, narx muljali 96.77 yoki 96.25ga etishi mumkin. Narx 98ni busib teppaga utsa, 98.46 va 99.1ga osongina etadi. Juftlik Pennant, deb atalgan (bullish yoki bearish yunalishini davom etayotganini kursatadi) channal - kanalda harakat qilayapti. RSI ham salbiy tomonga yurish arafasida. Bugungi asosiy support va resistence nuqtalar: 99.1 - Fib retracement (61.8%),98.46 - Fib retracement (50%), 98 - kunora pivot point, 96.77- kunora support, 96.25-kunora support, 95.75-kunora support...stop loss esdan chiqmasin ! man yozib buguncha 97.40dan oshdi...omad :)

supervisor
03-18-2008, 10:26 AM
USD/GBP forecastlar qanaqa bolalar?

Eshitishimcha shu yozda kurs saqlanarkan xattoki biroz osharkan ham. Shu xaqida kimda qanaqa information bor. O'zim uylashimcha xozirgi sharoitda USD faqat pastga tushsa kerak dayerli hamma katta valyutalarga nisbatan.

supervisor
03-18-2008, 11:09 AM
Fxsolutions.com yaxshi kompaniya, platformasi, ayniqsa, juda qulay ishlangan foydalanishga.

Fikrlaringiz manga ma'qul, qani endi vaqt kup etarli buganda, tez-tez fikr almashib turilsa, ulgur ish :)

Oltin $1000 etdi, neft $111, nasib bulsa bu ketishda EUR/USD 1.6000ga qarab yul tortayapti,.

Kuzatuvlarga tayanib, EUR/USD 1.555dan long position qisqa muddatda (kunora) 1.5675 va 1.5708ga etadi deyishimiz mumkin, agar 1.555 support - himoya darajasi pastga buzib utilsa juftlik 1.55 yoki 1.545ga etadi. 30 minutlik chartda (pastda) RSI qisqa muddatlik salbiy (bearish) kanalni-kuchani (shunaqa deymizmi uzbek tilida :)) teppaga kesib utayapti.

Qanaqa qilib, chart imageni kattaroq qilib forumga quysa buladi?

(Yana Xudo biladi !) :)


Man ham demo account ochdim xozir qani ko'ramiz nima qilib bilarkanman bunda, boshlanishda 10000USD berarkan.

cianore
03-18-2008, 08:45 PM
Kuzatuvlarga va manbalarga tayanib, 30 minutlik chartda (pastda) USD/JPY juftligi qisqa muddatda - kunora bearish - salbiy bosim ostida qoladi deyish mumkin. 97.9dan short position ochilsa, narx muljali 96.77 yoki 96.25ga etishi mumkin. Narx 98ni busib teppaga utsa, 98.46 va 99.1ga osongina etadi. Juftlik Pennant, deb atalgan (bullish yoki bearish yunalishini davom etayotganini kursatadi) channal - kanalda harakat qilayapti. RSI ham salbiy tomonga yurish arafasida. Bugungi asosiy support va resistence nuqtalar: 99.1 - Fib retracement (61.8%),98.46 - Fib retracement (50%), 98 - kunora pivot point, 96.77- kunora support, 96.25-kunora support, 95.75-kunora support...stop loss esdan chiqmasin ! man yozib buguncha 97.40dan oshdi...omad :)


Ha, Prenomad aka, kunning oxirigacha yozganizda 100dan ham oshardi... :lol:

cianore
03-18-2008, 08:48 PM
USD/GBP forecastlar qanaqa bolalar?

Eshitishimcha shu yozda kurs saqlanarkan xattoki biroz osharkan ham. Shu xaqida kimda qanaqa information bor. O'zim uylashimcha xozirgi sharoitda USD faqat pastga tushsa kerak dayerli hamma katta valyutalarga nisbatan.

Hmm, shu cablega unchalik ham hushim yo'qda...

Prenomad
03-19-2008, 05:36 AM
Ha, Prenomad aka, kunning oxirigacha yozganizda 100dan ham oshardi... :lol:

Siz suramang, man aytmay :) haxshiyam technical indicatorlar bor, rollercoaster kun buldiku kecha, 3ta trade qigandim; 97.15dan short, 97.50da stop loss ishga tushib, position 35 pips zarariga yopildi, keyin oqimga qushilib 98.07dan long, 99.95da yopdim, kecha narx 1 soatlik chartda 200 kunlik EMAda qarshilikka uchragandan sung shortman 100.18dan, yarimini yopdim 97.89dan ertalab, qogani turibdi, kuramiz, nasib qilsa 98.90da limit, 97.55da kuchli support bor.

Lehman Brothers va Goldman Sachs yaxshi natijalari, Fedning foiz stavkani 2.25%ga tushirgani bozordagi vahimani bosdi, USDni JPYga nisbatan tushishi uchun Wall Streetda vahima hukmron bugani ma'qul, lekin past interest rate baribir USDga salbiy ta'sir qiladi.

cianore
04-01-2008, 10:30 PM
nima bu hamma jim bo'lib qoldi? Yoki man bo'lmasam hech kim trade qilmayaptimi? (xazil)

Masanori
04-30-2008, 12:20 PM
cianore, yozib turing.

Masanori
07-05-2008, 01:02 PM
Forex da savdo qiluvchilar uz tajribasi bilan urtoqlashsa yahshi bular edi.

Africa
07-08-2008, 08:44 PM
советую присмотрется к nyse:arm.

Real Iceman
07-09-2008, 07:28 AM
I wish I had some financial backing to do some trading on my personal account. it has to wait for another 6 months.

советую присмотрется к nyse:arm.

thats a stock, no? :?

Africa
07-10-2008, 07:10 AM
да, это акция

uzeconomist
07-17-2008, 05:42 AM
open OANDA account and trade with the money you can invest. Do not trade with 100 000 game account. Trading real is totally different and remember 90% of traders in the market loose. Trading forex is just money management. If you want to trade currency for long term use 1:20 margin and if you are day trader use 1:50 margin. Trade only one currency pair and understand what moves the market. You can diversify later. Invest no more than 10% of your capital and no more than 3% on single market.
Trading is just about your mindset and how it reacts to information (either based on charts or fundamental analysis) is crucial. Rememeber if everyone says that weather is bad, the wheather will be worse so follow the market.